中国出口商品结构高度化的影响因素研究——基于省际面板数据的实证检验  

Determinants of China's Export Goods Structure Upgrading:Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Data

作　　者：卫平[1] 冯春晓[2] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学经济学院 [2]上海市信息中心信息化研究部

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2010年第10期24-31,共8页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：2006年度国家社科基金重大招标项目:新型工业化道路的工业结构优化升级研究(项目编号:06&ZD035)研究成果之一

摘　　要：我国出口商品结构的问题引起国内外学者的高度关注,国外一些学者的研究均发现中国总体出口高度化水平"出乎意料"地高。研究出口商品结构高度化的来源具有深刻的福利含义,本文基于中国31个省市自治区2002-2007年出口商品的面板数据,实证研究发现:(1)外商直接投资、对外直接投资均对出口商品结构高度化具有促进作用;(2)一般贸易方式对出口商品结构高度化的促进效应不明显,加工贸易方式具有显著的阻碍效应;(3)人力资本对出口商品结构高度化具有显著的促进作用。In recent years, China＇ s export goods structure has aroused the attention of scholars both at home and abroad, the studies of foreign scholars Rodrik （2006） and Schott （2008） have found that the level of sophistication of China＇ s overall export is ＂surprisingly＂ high. It has profound welfare meanings to study the source of export goods structure upgrading based on the panel data of China＇ s 31 provinces＇ exports from 2002 to 2007. The results of empirical analysis ineludes： （1） Foreign Direct Investment （FDI） and Outward Foreign Direct Investment （OFDI） have optimized the structure of export goods. Although the total amount of OFDI is small, the extent of its impact is larger than FDI; （2） The promoting effect brought by the ordinal trade was not obvious, but processing trade has significantly hindering effect; （3） The promoting effect of human capital is stronger than technological progress; （4） State-owned enterprises＇ export has the most significant effect on optimizing the export goods structure, followed by Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan enterpris- es. Private enterprises and foreign invested enterprises have insignificant effect on export goods structure.

关 键 词：出口商品结构 高度化 影响因素 FDI OFDI 加工贸易 人力资源 技术进步 面板数据分析 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]