An Overview of Research and Forecasting on Rainfall Associated with Landfalling Tropical Cyclones  被引量:83

An Overview of Research and Forecasting on Rainfall Associated with Landfalling Tropical Cyclones

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作  者:陈联寿 李英 程正泉 

机构地区:[1]State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences [2]Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory

出  处:《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》2010年第5期967-976,共10页大气科学进展(英文版)

基  金:financed by the National Grand Fundamental Research 973 Program of China (Grant Nos. 2009CB421504 and 2004CB418301);the Key Program of the National Natural Science Foun-dation of China (NSFC) (Grant No. 40730948);the NSFC (Grant Nos. 40575018, 40675033 and 40975032)

摘  要:The ability to forecast heavy rainfall associated with landfalling tropical cyclones (LTCs) can be improved with a better understanding of the mechanism of rainfall rates and distributions of LTCs. Research in the area of LTCs has shown that associated heavy rainfall is related closely to mechanisms such as moisture transport, extratropical transition (ET), interaction with monsoon surge, land surface processes or topographic effects, mesoscale convective system activities within the LTC, and boundary layer energy transfer etc.. LTCs interacting with environmental weather systems, especially the westerly trough and mei-yu front, could change the rainfall rate and distribution associated with these mid-latitude weather systems. Recently improved technologies have contributed to advancements within the areas of quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) and quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF). More specifically, progress has been due primarily to remote sensing observations and mesoscale numerical models which incorporate advanced assimilation techniques. Such progress may provide the tools necessary to improve rainfall forecasting techniques associated with LTCs in the future.The ability to forecast heavy rainfall associated with landfalling tropical cyclones (LTCs) can be improved with a better understanding of the mechanism of rainfall rates and distributions of LTCs. Research in the area of LTCs has shown that associated heavy rainfall is related closely to mechanisms such as moisture transport, extratropical transition (ET), interaction with monsoon surge, land surface processes or topographic effects, mesoscale convective system activities within the LTC, and boundary layer energy transfer etc.. LTCs interacting with environmental weather systems, especially the westerly trough and mei-yu front, could change the rainfall rate and distribution associated with these mid-latitude weather systems. Recently improved technologies have contributed to advancements within the areas of quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) and quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF). More specifically, progress has been due primarily to remote sensing observations and mesoscale numerical models which incorporate advanced assimilation techniques. Such progress may provide the tools necessary to improve rainfall forecasting techniques associated with LTCs in the future.

关 键 词:landfalling tropical cyclones heavy rainfall research and forecasting 

分 类 号:P457.6[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]

 

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