城市化进程中的水土资源“增长阻力”分析——以江西省为例  

Analysis on Growth Drag of Water and Land during Urbanization Process:Taking Jiangxi Province as Case

作　　者：刘耀彬[1,2] 王桂新[1] 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学公共管理与公共政策研究国家哲学社会科学创新基地,上海200433 [2]南昌大学中国中部经济发展研究中心,江西南昌330047

出　　处：《生态经济》2010年第10期161-163,共3页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(07CJL031);国家自然科学基金项目(40961009)

摘　　要：基于新古典增长理论和城市化与经济增长之间的关系方程,构建出城市化进程的资源"增长阻力"模型,并以江西省为例进行实证分析。研究显示,水和土地资源对江西省城市化进程的"增长阻力"分别为0.006 836 528和0.129 913 984个百分点,二者对城市化总的阻力为0.192 582 493个百分点。进一步计算表明,由于资源约束的存在,如果继续沿用过去的生产要素投入与资源利用方式,沿着平衡的经济增长路径,江西省要想在2010年实现城市化水平达到45%以上的目标,城市化水平年增长率至少要保持1.76个百分点以上。显然,保持这么高的城市化水平年增长速度是很难达到。因此,只有将其生产方式转移到依靠技术进步上来,并着力培养节约和保护资源的意识,这样才能实现城市化的可持续发展战略。The model of growth drag of resources during urbanization process has been put forward with the neo-classic growth theory and relationship function between urbanization and economic growth employed,and empirical analysis with Jiangxi province as a case been done.The results show that the drags of water and land during urbanization process in Jiangxi province respectively are 0.006 836 528 and 0.129 913 984 percentage point,and total drag reaches 0.192 582 493 percentage points.And further computed that,with the existence of growth drag,along balance growth path with the same production way,the annual growth of urbanization must be above 1.76 percentage point if we want to reach the target of urbanization level of 2010 to 45%.Obviously,the annual growth rate of urbanization in Jiangxi is unimportant to reach.Therefore,in order to guarantee sustainable urbanization in Jiangxi province,not only is it necessary for us to pave the production way that depends on technology advancement,but also to raise the consciousness to save and protect resources.

关 键 词：城市化 水资源 土地资源 增长阻力 江西 

分 类 号：F290[经济管理—国民经济]