经济全球化背景下我国产业关联特征分析——基于1997—2007可比价非竞争型投入产出表的研究  

The Characteristics of Industrial Relations in China under the Background of Economic Globalization: An Analysis Based on Non-Competitive Input-Output Data with Comparable Prices between 1997 and 2007

作　　者：刘瑞翔[1] 姜彩楼[2] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学经济学院,江苏南京210093 [2]南京信息工程大学,江苏南京210044

出　　处：《产业经济研究》2010年第5期17-26,35,共11页Industrial Economics Research

摘　　要：本文利用1997、2002以及国家统计局最新颁布的2007年投入产出表,考察了中国在经济全球化背景下的产业关联特征。本文研究结果表明,进口和价格波动导致我国产业关联特征发生根本性的变化,在消除具体影响之后,得到以下结论:(1)价格波动导致能源类产业和第三产业感应度系数普遍下降,工业部门感应度系数有所提升,进口比例较高的行业感应度系数出现下降;(2)高技术行业影响力有所下降,第三产业对于中国经济的影响力日益增加,建筑业影响力系数上升到国民经济的前列;(3)1997到2007十年来,工业部门在国民经济中整体的主导地位已经发生改变,以服务业为主的第三产业影响力逐年增加,成为拉动中国经济发展的新引擎。This paper investigated the characteristics of industrial relations in China under the background of economic globalization based on non-competitive input-output data with comparable price during 1997—2007,and some conclusions are gotten： Firstly,price volatility had lead to decrease of energy sectors and third industry＇s induction coefficient and increase of industries＇ induction coefficient,while the induction coefficient of sectors with higher proportion of imports had decreased.Secondly,the influence power of high-tech industry had declined while the third industry＇s had increased,and the influence power of the construction industry is at the forefront of all sectors.At last,the leading role of industry in economics has changed and the third industry is becoming the new engine of China＇s economics growth with the increasing influence power year by year.

关 键 词：经济全球化 非竞争型 可比价 产业关联 可比价投入产出表 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]