江苏经济与交通协同发展的最适投资配置  

Optimum Stochastic Allocation of Investment for Synergetic Developments of Jiangsu's Transportation and Economy

作　　者：吴国富[1] 陈森发[1] 陈小玉[2] 

机构地区：[1]东南大学经济管理学院,江苏南京210096 [2]桂林电子科技大学公共事务学院,广西桂林541004

出　　处：《系统工程》2010年第7期79-82,共4页Systems Engineering

基　　金：教育部博士学科点专项科研基金资助项目(20060286005)

摘　　要：根据陈木法的经济最优化的随机模型理论,选取普雷斯科特范式分析了江苏与其交通的一般随机动态关系,从中得到了相机配置资源支持江苏与其交通协同发展的随机控制模型,基于模型用江苏省统计资料算出的数值可较好地分析江苏与其交通的发展状况,模型对江苏相机配置其全社会投资具有实际的意义;最后提出了一些有利于改善江苏交通发展的政策建议。Based on the stochastic models of economic optimization of Chen M F,academician of Chinese Academy of Science,this paper chooses Prescott＇s paradigm to analyze how to sustain the synergetic developmentof Jiangsu Province and its transportation,proposes a stochastic optimal control model for their synergetic development,obtains a worthy Euler equation of this model, does a numerical experiment on the model according to the statistics of Jiangsu province.The numerical results show that the model can effectively analyze the developing state of Jiang Su Province and its transportation,which is very practical for Jiangsu to contingently allocate its total investment.Finally some policy proposals are put forward on how to improve the development of transportation of Jiangsu Province.

关 键 词：江苏经济与交通 协同发展 最适随机投资配置 普雷斯科特范式 数值实验 政策建议 

分 类 号：N945[自然科学总论—系统科学]