碳排放收敛性:理论假说和中国的经验研究  

The Convergence in Carbon Dioxide Emissions:Theoretical Hypotheses and Empirical Research in China

作　　者：许广月[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南大学经济学院

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2010年第9期31-42,共12页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

摘　　要：本文利用经济增长中的收敛分析方法,构建了碳排放收敛模型,利用中国1995～2007年的省际面板数据,实证研究了人均碳排放量的敛散性。研究结果表明:中国人均碳排放量不存在β绝对收敛,但是存在β条件收敛和东部、中部和西部地区的三大俱乐部收敛;第二产业比重和煤炭消费比重的下降有助于人均碳排放的收敛,而人均收入水平、清洁技术水平和政府的宏观环境规制对人均碳排放收敛的影响因各区域而有别。In this paper, the convergence model of carbon emissions is con- structed with the method of convergence of economic growth analysis. On this ba- sis, the convergence and divergence of per capita carbon emissions is studied empir- ically, using 1995-2007 provincial panel data in China. The results show that. ① China＇s per capita carbon emissions are not β absolute convergence, but β condi- tional convergence and the three Club Convergence of the eastern, central and western regions; ②The decline in the proportion of secondary industry and coal consumption contributes to the convergence of per capita carbon emissions, per ca- pita income levels, clean technology and government＇s macro- environmental regu- lation behavior have the different impact in the different regions. Accordingly, this Daper Presents relevant policy implications.

关 键 词：碳排放 δ收敛 Β收敛 俱乐部收敛 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]