临夏州大—暴雨物理量诊断集合预报模型  

A Physical Quantity Diagnostic Integration Forecast Model About Heavy-Rainstorm in Linxia of Gansu

作　　者：贾小琴 蔡广珍 马旭洁 

机构地区：[1]甘肃省临夏回族自治州气象局,甘肃临夏731100

出　　处：《干旱气象》2010年第3期358-362,共5页Journal of Arid Meteorology

基　　金：甘肃省气象局第二批"青年优秀人才"计划资助

摘　　要：针对临夏州大—暴雨产生的物理条件,总结了相关的物理量及其指标,根据地面、高空及T213数值预报格点资料,采用三角形插值法计算各站点的相关物理量,利用集合的方法建立了临夏州大—暴雨物理量诊断集合预报模型。通过个例检验,该模型对临夏州大—暴雨具有一定的预报能力。The physical quantities and their indices relative to heavy rain occurred in Linxia of Gansu were summarized.Based on surface and aerological observations and T213 data,the physical quantities at each meteorological station in Linxia were accounted by triangular interpolation method,and a physical quantity diagnostic integration forecasting model about heavy-rain in Linxia was established.And the model has the certain forecasting ability to heavy rain in Linxia.

关 键 词：大—暴雨 物理量 诊断分析 集合预报模型 

分 类 号：P456.7[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]