基于灰靶理论的武器装备体系技术贡献度评估  

Weapon System of System Technology Contribution Evaluation Based on Grey Target Theory

作　　者：常雷雷[1] 张小可[1] 李孟军[1] 

机构地区：[1]国防科学技术大学信息系统与管理学院,湖南长沙410073

出　　处：《兵工自动化》2010年第10期13-15,19,共4页Ordnance Industry Automation

基　　金："十一五"武器装备预先研究项目(513300102);国家自然科学基金项目(70901074)

摘　　要：针对武器装备体系关键技术贡献度问题,提出一种基于灰靶理论的分析方法。首先,阐述了武器装备体系层次结构关系,建立了系统到技术的映射关系,定义技术贡献度来刻画技术对系统实现功能、体系完成使命的贡献程度,说明了技术贡献度分析过程。然后,通过灰靶理论将技术贡献度定量化。最后,以实例研究说明该方法的可行性。该方法可用于辅助武器装备体系的技术发展规划的生成,为武器装备体系的发展决策提供支持。An analysis method based on grey target theory is proposed to solve the problem deals with key technology contribution rate of weapon system of system（WSoS）.Firstly the WSoS hierarchical structure is elaborated and mapping from system to technology is established.Secondly technology contribution rate is defined to describe the contribution rate for a system to function and WSoS to fulfill its mission and the analysis process of technology contribution rate is illustrated.Then the grey target theory is applied to quantify technology contribution rate.Finally the appliance of the method proposed is demonstrated by a WSoS case study.This method can be applied in creating the WSoS technology planning rules and supporting WSoS development and decision-making.

关 键 词：武器装备体系 技术贡献度 灰靶理论 

分 类 号：E237[军事—军事理论] N941.5[自然科学总论—系统科学]