中国直接生活能源碳排放因素分解模型与实证  

Decomposition Model and Empirical Study of Carbon Emissions from Direct Household Energy in China

作　　者：查建平[1] 唐方方[1,2] 傅浩[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学经济管理学院西蒙一泽尔腾行为决策研究实验室,四川成都610031 [2]北京大学经济研究中心,北京100871

出　　处：《山西财经大学学报》2010年第9期9-15,共7页Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(SWJTU09CX086)

摘　　要：构建了碳排放因素分解模型,对1996～2007年中国直接生活能源碳排放变化的驱动因素进行了分析。研究结果显示,在整个分析年限内,中国直接生活能源碳排放呈"U"型趋势,拐点出现在2001年。通过对拐点前后中国直接生活能源碳排放的拉升因素与抑制因素进行分析,并对这两类因素的作用力进行评估,可以为中国直接生活能源碳减排工作提供政策启示。Carbon emission from direct household energy is always an important component of total carbon emission in China.With the rapid increase of consumption level of China＇s residents,as well as the slow improvement of the consumption structure and consumption strength of the household energy,China＇s carbon emission from direct household energy will inevitably increase.The paper analyzes the various driving forces of carbon emission from direct household energy in China from 1996 to 2007.The results suggest that the track of carbon emission from direct household energy per household is as the＂U＂,the inflection point of years is 2001.On the basis,the paper points out the facilitating factors and the inhibiting factors which influence China＇s carbon emission from direct household energy around the Inflection point,besides,the paper evaluates and analyzes the forces of two types of factors,so as to provide policy implications for China＇s carbon emission reduction,which is from direct household energy.

关 键 词：直接生活能源 碳排放 碳排放因素分解模型 驱动因素 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]