我国省域人口发展与节约型社会建设的耦合协调发展度研究  

The Research of Coupling and Coordination Development Degree between Population Development and Economical Society Building in Chinese Provinces

作　　者：丁刚[1] 金少芸[1] 黄志强[1] 

机构地区：[1]福州大学公共管理学院,福建福州350002

出　　处：《太原理工大学学报（社会科学版）》2010年第3期7-12,共6页Journal of Taiyuan University of Technology(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：福建省软科学重点项目(2009R0048);福建省社会科学规划项目(2008B2038)

摘　　要：文章首先提出了耦合协调发展度这一概念的界定及其计算方法,其次利用全局主成分分析(CGPA)模型,分别建立了用以衡量人口发展水平和节约型社会建设水平的评价指标体系;再次,从省域层面入手,在进行数据质量检验、模型参数检验等项工作的基础上完成了评价过程,结合这些指标近年来的时序立体数据对于两者的演进态势进行了定量描述;最后,根据各个省(市)区的相应全局主成分得分值,进一步完成了相应的耦合协调发展度评价。This study first proposes the the concept definition and calculation method of coupling and coordination degree;then uses the Global Principal Components Analysis（GPCA）models to establish a evaluation index system,which is used to measure the level of population development and the level of economical society;once again,started from the provincial level,completes the evaluation process on the basis of making data quality testing,model parameters testing and other work,then combines these indexes of time series data in recent years for a quantitative description of the evolution trend of population development and economical society building.Finally,according to various provinces（cities） corresponding PCA scores,further completes the evaluation of corresponding coupling and coordinated development degree.

关 键 词：人口发展 节约型社会 耦合协调发展度 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]