风险与不确定性对农户劳动力资源配置的影响——基于西部地区8个样本村的实证分析  

On the Influence of Risk and Uncertainty to the Allocation of Labor Resources——An Empirical Study for Eight Sample Villages in the Western Region

作　　者：张永丽[1,2] 章忠明[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北师范大学经济管理学院,甘肃兰州730070 [2]浙江大学农业现代化与农村发展研究中心,浙江杭州310029

出　　处：《华南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2010年第4期11-19,共9页Journal of South China Agricultural University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71063017);教育部人文社会科学一般项目(09YJA790166);西北师范大学第三期知识与科技创新工程项目

摘　　要：在利用农村社会调查资料的基础上,通过一般统计分析与计量估计,旨在揭示市场化程度不断提高的背景下,农户面临的各种风险和不确定性及其对劳动力资源配置的影响。研究结果表明,风险与不确定性不仅来自农户家庭外部,而且也来自于家庭内部,成为影响农户优化劳动力资源配置的主要障碍。形成政府、社会、农户一体化的风险分散与防范机制,是降低农户面临的各种风险、优化劳动力资源配置的主要手段。This paper,based on the survey of rural areas in the western region,using statistical and metric method,discusses the risk and uncertainty that the farmers encounter and reveals the influence of the risk and uncertainty to the allocation of labor resources in the course of continuously developed marketization.The results show that the risk and uncertainty come not only from the internal but also from the external of the families.And the risk and uncertainty have hindered the allocation of labor resources.Thus,it is necessary to build the mechanism of risk prevention and dispersion among the government,society and farmers so as to decrease the possibility of risk occurrence and optimize the allocation of labor resources.

关 键 词：风险 不确定性 劳动力资源配置 

分 类 号：F323.6[经济管理—产业经济]