我国经济增长因素的边限检验实证研究  

A Bounds-Testing Empirical Study of the Influencing Factors for Economic Growth in China

作　　者：赵鹏[1] 李金垒[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国银行河北省分行,河北050000 [2]中央民族大学,北京100081

出　　处：《上海市经济管理干部学院学报》2010年第6期11-16,共6页Journal of Shanghai Economic Management College

摘　　要：运用边限检验方法对我国经济增长和其影响因素之间的关系进行实证研究的结果表明,中国经济增长与其影响因素之间存在长期稳定关系,不同因素对中国经济增长有不同的影响。从长期看,劳动力投入、城市化率、非国有化率、资本存量和第一产业比重的影响作用显著;在短期内,劳动力投入、第三产业比重、城市化率和资本存量对中国经济增长都有显著影响。In order to forecast the relation of economic growth of China and its Influencing factors, based on the unrestricted error-correction model, we have used bounds testing to carry out empirical studies. The results verify that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between economic growth and its determinants, and the different influencing factors have different impacts on the input, urbanization, the rate of non-nationalization, capital positive effect on the economic growth, in the short run, urbanization and capital stock are found to be significant economic growth in China. In the long run, labor stock and the proportion of primary industry have a labor input, the proportion of the tertiary industry,

关 键 词：经济增长 影响因素 无约束误差修正模型 边限检验 

分 类 号：F12[经济管理—世界经济]