运用孕震断层多锁固段脆性破裂理论探讨大同-阳高-张北地区未来地震活动性  

DISCUSSION ON THE FUTURE SEISMICITY IN DATONG-YANGGAO-ZHANGBEI AREA USING THE BRITTLE FAILURE THEORY OF MULTIPLE LOCKED PATCHES ALONG A SEISMOGENIC FAULT

作　　者：秦四清[1] 徐锡伟[2] 薛雷[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所,中国科学院工程地质力学重点实验室,北京100029 [2]中国地震局地质研究所,北京100029

出　　处：《工程地质学报》2010年第2期189-190,182,共3页Journal of Engineering Geology

摘　　要：基于笔者最近建立的孕震断层多锁固段脆性破裂理论,本文针对大同—阳高—张北地区未来大地震发生的可能性进行了预测分析,结果表明该地区有可能发生6.5级以上的破坏性地震。Based on the the brittle failure theory of multiple locked patches along a seismogenic fault presented recently by us,the possibility of that the strong earthquake will occur in Datong-Yanggao-Zhangbei area is analysed.It is shown that a destructive earthquake with a magnitude of more than 6.5 in this area will possibly occur.

关 键 词：大同-阳高-张北地区 地震活动性 锁固段 

分 类 号：P642[天文地球—工程地质学]