青狮潭暴雨的天气概念模型和预报  

Weather Conceptual Model and Predicting of Rainstorm around the Qingshitan Reservior

作　　者：周文志[1] 林建新 黄光总 吴松[1] 蒋丽娟[1] 

机构地区：[1]桂林市气象局,广西桂林541001 [2]广西壮族自治区青狮潭水力发电厂,广西灵川541211

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2010年第32期18313-18314,共2页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

摘　　要：对1981~2008年3~8月青狮潭水库各水文雨量站点重大降雨的时空分布,以及重大暴雨过程的主要影响系统的特征做了统计分析,并建立各类暴雨预报概念模型和指标,对促进重大暴雨特别是局地暴雨的预报服务工作和提高桂林城乡供水、农业灌溉、防洪、漓江旅游补水工程都有着重要意义。The spatial and temporal distribution of rainstorm of the Qingshitan Reservior hydrological stations from March to August during 1981-2008 were analyzed,as well as the characteristic of the influenced synoptic system.Then all kinds of torrential rain predicting conceptual model and index were set up,which will provide scientific basis for improving accuracy rate of rainstorm prediction,and have important meanings in promoting prediction services of torrential rain,increasing urban and rural water supply of Guilin,agricultural irrigation,flood prevention,Lijiang Tourism water supply engineering.

关 键 词：青狮潭 统计分析 暴雨概念模型 预报指标 

分 类 号：P458.121.1[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]