贵州人口老龄化,经济增长对养老保险支出影响实证研究  

An Empirical Study on Population Aging,Economic Growth,Pension Insurance Expenditure in Guizhou Province

作　　者：李旭东[1] 

机构地区：[1]贵州师范大学地理与环境科学学院,贵阳550001

出　　处：《西北人口》2010年第6期87-92,共6页Northwest Population Journal

基　　金：贵州省教育厅硕士点项目(08SSD007)

摘　　要：人口的老龄化是21世纪世界各国各地区的普遍趋势,人口老龄化问题及其对社会养老保障影响,已经引起社会各界的重视,成为国内外专家学者的研究热点。本文在利用2005年1%人口抽样和1991-2007统计数据分析贵州省人口老龄化现状及特征的基础上,运用协整分析方法,就贵州人口老龄化程度、经济增长对养老保险支出的影响做了定量探索,最后,结合现实情况和模型分析的结果对相关情况提出建议。Population aging is becoming a widespread tendency in various countries and regions in the 21st century.The question of the population aging and its influence on old-age social security has already caught the attention from people of all walks of life.And it becomes a research focus to domestic and international experts.Based on the 1% sample censuses survey data of 2005 and the relevant time-series data from1991 to 2007,this paper examines the major characteristics and status of Aging of Guizhou population,then using the method of co-integration analysis to quantitative analyze the relation aging population,economic growth and Pension Insurance Expenditure.Finally,it also put forward several advices to solve Pension Insurance problem.

关 键 词：人口老龄化 经济增长 养老保险支出 贵州 

分 类 号：C913.6[经济管理]