陕西省农产品加工企业产值对农民收入的影响分析——基于协整检验和格兰杰因果检验  

The Influence of Shaanxi's Farm Products Processing Enterprise to Farmer's Income——Based on Co-integration Test and Granger Causality Test

作　　者：韦珍[1] 王征兵[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌712100

出　　处：《华中农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2010年第6期36-39,共4页Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-05-0859);国家自然科学基金项目"村干部在农村经济管理中的激励与制约机制研究"(70273035)

摘　　要：为探讨陕西省农产品加工企业产值对农民收入的影响,运用协整检验和格兰杰因果检验分析方法,采用Eviews3.1软件分析了陕西省1995-2007年农产品加工企业的产值和农民收入。结果表明,农产品加工企业产值和农民收入存在长期稳定的关系和互为因果的关系;在长期中,农产品加工企业产值增加1个单位,农民收入增加0.899 7个单位;在短期中,两者的协整关系以7.79%的修正力度拉回均衡状态,农产品加工企业的产值与农民收入的相互拉动效应会滞后1期。针对此结论提出搞好发展规划、促进精深加工、出台扶持政策等建议,推动农产品加工业的发展。To research the influence that Shaanxi＇s farm products processing enterprise effect farmer＇s income, after the Co-integration Test and Granger Causality Test, this paper analyses the farm products processing enterprise and farmer＇s income based the data from 1995 to 2007. It can be concluded that the farm products processing enterprisers output add farmer＇s income have the effect of reciprocal causation. When the farm products processing enterprisers output value increase 1 unit, the farmer＇s income can increase 0.899 7 unit in the long period. The co-integration can pull the fluctuation to the equilibrium state at the power of 7. 79% in the short period. The reciprocal causation between farm products procession enterprise＇s output and farm＇s income can be lagged 1 year. Based on this conclusion,the paper make the proposal of doing good development plan, promoting deep processing and introduction the supportive policy to improve the development of farm product processing industry.

关 键 词：农产品加工企业 农民收入 影响分析 协整检验 格兰杰因果检验 

分 类 号：F326.5[经济管理—产业经济]