中国科教支出对经济增长贡献的门限效应研究  

Contribution of Expenditures on Education and Scientific Research to Economic Growth in China:A Threshold Panel Approach

作　　者：骆永民[1] 

机构地区：[1]安徽工业大学经济学院,安徽马鞍山243032

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2010年第12期46-51,共6页Journal of Statistics and Information

基　　金：安徽省教育厅重点项目<安徽省农村基础设施建设现状及农民满意度研究>(2010sk164zd)

摘　　要：利用中国1998—2006年的省级面板数据,分析中国科教支出对经济增长的贡献的"门限效应"。主要结论有:科研、教育支出都对经济增长有着显著贡献;促使科研支出产出弹性出现"门限效应"的主要是经济发展水平,当人均GDP高于7 480元时,其产出弹性从0.144提高到0.177;促使教育支出产出弹性出现"门限效应"的主要是教育支出自身的大小,当人均教育支出高于298.87元时,其产出弹性从0.207提高到0.222。因此科研支出要视经济发展水平进行适度投入,而教育支出则必须达到一定的规模才能发挥更大的作用。In this paper,we study the threshold effect of the contribution of expenditures on education and scientific research to Chinese provincial economic growth by using the method constructed by Hansen（1996,2000）.Based on the panel data from 1998 to 2006 of 31 provinces in China,we find some useful results： The expenditures on education and scientific research in China have positive effect on the economic growth and at the same time have the threshold effect;the threshold effect of contribution from education expenditure comes from the education expenditure itself and the threshold effect of contribution from scientific research expenditure comes from the economic growth.When per capita GDP is above 7480 Yuan,the output elasticity of the scientific research expenditure rises to 0.177 from 0.144.When per capita education expenditure is above 298.87 Yuan,the output elasticity of the education expenditure rises to 0.222 from 0.207.

关 键 词：科教支出 经济增长 门限效应 

分 类 号：F812[经济管理—财政学]