改革开放以来山东省区域经济增长趋同与差异  

Regional Economic Convergence and Disparity in Shandong Province since Reform and Opening-up

作　　者：张晓青[1] 

机构地区：[1]山东师范大学,济南250014

出　　处：《地理科学进展》2010年第12期1577-1583,共7页Progress in Geography

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(08CJY020)

摘　　要：长期以来,山东省东西部地区差距显著,堪称我国区域差异的一个缩影。在检验σ趋同和建立绝对β趋同经典回归模型的基础上,研究发现山东省改革开放以来区域经济增长经历了"趋同(1978-1983)—趋异(1984-2004)—趋同(2005-2008)"的变化过程,特别是在较长时期的趋异后2005年以来转为趋同值得关注;进而使用灰色关联分析和计量经济学模型对影响区域经济增长的制度变量进行探讨,在引入初始人力资本、劳动力和资本投入、工业化进程、产权制度改革、政府活动等初始变量和控制因素后,存在条件β趋同,其中人力资本禀赋和非国有化进程对山东区域经济增长的影响最为突出,劳动力市场表现和政府财政活动的影响不显著。这些结论为缩小区域差距提供决策依据。Disparity between the eastern and western regions of Shandong Province has been outstanding for a long time,which is the same as that in China.The regional economic convergence and disparity in Shandong province from 1978 to 2008 are investigated by applying gray correlation and econometric model.The main conclusions are as follows.σ and absolute β convergences have the same trend and display the characters of ＂convergence（1978-1983）-disparity（1983-2004）-convergence（2005-2008）＂ over the whole period.It is necessary to pay more attention to the convergence since 2005.Conditional β convergence will exist if some controlled factors such as human capital,inputs of labor and capital,non-nationalization,industrial structure and government finance are considered.Higher human capital and non-state economic development have significant effects on the regional economic growth since 2005,but labor market and finance have insignificant effects.

关 键 词：区域经济增长 Σ趋同 Β趋同 山东省 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F127