中国服务业就业吸纳能力下降之谜——基于Baumal模型扩展的理论分析与实证研究  

Explaining the Employment Absorbency of Chinese Service Industry——Based on Baumal Extended Model

作　　者：张原[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国劳动关系学院,北京100048

出　　处：《贵州财经学院学报》2011年第1期28-34,共7页Journal of Guizhou College of Finance and Economics

基　　金：中国劳动关系学院科研项目(10YYB023)和教学改革项目(JG0919)的资助

摘　　要：我国服务业的就业吸纳能力依赖于该部门相对滞后的劳动生产率及其较低的产出价格弹性和收入弹性,服务业人均工资的相对提高不利于服务业就业份额的扩张。20世纪90年代中期以后,服务业劳动生产率滞后程度的加深和产业间工资差异进一步扩大,不利于服务业就业吸纳方式转型和健康增长。服务业就业的可持续增长要求增加服务业产品价格弹性和收入弹性,同时提高服务业劳动生产率,从而打破服务业就业增长依赖"双g低水平陷阱"的状态;另外,还需要通过开放服务业垄断经营领域降低相对工资水平,防止"成本病"对服务业就业的负面作用。The employment absorption capacity of Chinese service industry depends on its lag of productivity and the low elasticity of output price and income. The rise of service industry ＇ s wage is not conducive to the expansion of service sector ＇ s employment. After the mid-nineties, the service industry ＇ s labor productivity further declined and the wage gap between industries became even larger＇ which hinder the service sector＇ s transformation of employment pattern and its healthy growth. The sustainable growth of service industry asked for the high flexibility of its price elasticity and income elasticity, as well as improving service productivity to break the ＂ double low-level trap＂ of the service sector, s employment growth. In addition, some of the monopoly service sectors should become more open up to the market, and reduce the relative wage level, which is helpful to prevent the ＂high cost problem＂ of the service sector.

关 键 词：服务业 第三产业 非均衡增长模型 产业就业结构 

分 类 号：F249.2[经济管理—劳动经济]