基于复杂网络的国家-产品能力模型构建与研究  

作　　者：任维雅[1] 李江[1] 谭东风[1] 梅朝阳 

机构地区：[1]国防科技大学信息系统与管理学院,湖南长沙410072 [2]国防科技大学人文与社会科学学院,湖南长沙410072

出　　处：《现代物业（中旬刊）》2010年第10期1-3,82,共4页Modern Property Management

摘　　要：本文旨在构建国家-产品能力模型,分析国家的经济结构和发展问题。论文基于Hidalgo和Hausmann的"乐高"理论和2000年国家进出口产品贸易数据,构造出了联系国家和产品的纽带——能力。我们构造的能力是一种既能穷尽所有生产元素、又具有有限性的基本元素。我们将国家和产品看成能力的集合,得到了产品能力矩阵和国家能力矩阵,生成了国家-产品能力模型。国家-产品能力模型的应用领域十分广泛,本文借助能力模型找出了国家潜在产品生产空间,分析了国家的优级产品和次级产品,研究了国家经济发展性质。国家-产品能力模型的构建十分有意义,它可以衍生出包括国家复杂性、产品相似性、潜在产品、经济预测等许多研究,这些研究对于分析经济结构问题具有光明前景。The paper aims at constructing a country-product ability model and then elaborating on problems concerning the national economic structure and development.Based on Hidalgo and Hausmann＇s lego theory and imports and exports statistics of various countries in 2000, the paper constitutes the link between country and product—ability, which is a basic element with the characteristics of infiniteness and finiteness at the same time.Meanwhile, we find out product ability matrix and country ability matrix and create country-product ability model.The application of ability model is broad.With this model, the paper discovers the producing space of a nation＇s potentialproduct, analyzes the nation＇s superior and inferior products, and studies the quality of the nation＇s economic development.It is very significant to construct the country-product model, because it can derive many other researches such as researches on country complexity, product complexity, product similarity, potential products, economic prediction and the economic development strategies of a country, which are of great use for dissecting the world＇s economic problems and are also very promising.

关 键 词：国家-产品能力模型 产品能力矩阵 优级产品 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济] O157.5[理学—数学]