农牧交错带以农为主区科技进步对农业用地变化影响——以武川县为例  

Scientific and Technological Progress Impacts on Agricultural Land Use Change in Farming-Pastoral Transitional Zone in Farming Area——A Case of Wuchuan Country

作　　者：郝润梅[1] 海春兴[1] 张修江[1] 

机构地区：[1]内蒙古师范大学地理科学学院,内蒙古呼和浩特010022

出　　处：《内蒙古师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2010年第5期122-126,共5页Journal of Inner Mongolia Normal University：Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(06BJL045);内蒙古自然科学基金重点项目(200711020602)共同资助

摘　　要：笔者以农牧交错带的核心地区内蒙古呼和浩特市武川县为研究区,利用多元统计学方法建立了武川县农业用地利用变化的驱动力模型,对武川县农业用地利用变化的科技进步驱动因子及其作用机理和过程进行分析。结果表明:近十年间武川县农业用地面积变化整体上处于减少趋势,科技进步是武川县农业用地面积变化的主导因素。通过线性回归分析,农业用地面积变化与农药使用量呈显著正相关,与水果产量呈显著负相关。This paper will take Wuchuan in Hohhot,Inner Mongolia autonomous region,which is the core area of Farming-Pastoral Transition Zone,as the study area,using multiple statistical methods to establish the driving force model of Wuchuan County agricultural land use change.It analyzes driving factors of scientific and technological progress and mechanism and process of agricultural land changes in Wuchuan County.The results show that over the past decade,the area of agricultural land in the overall decreasing trend in Wuchuan County,Scientific and technological progress is dominant factor on the area of agricultural land changes in Wuchuan County.By linear regression analysis show that the area of agricultural land changes are significantly positively correlated with the use of pesticides,and it is significantly negatively correlated with fruit production.

关 键 词：农牧交错带 农业用地 驱动力 科技进步 武川县 

分 类 号：K902[历史地理—人文地理学]