基于层次分析法和模糊综合评判方法的安全管理体系优选  

Choosing the best scheme of safety management system based on AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method

作　　者：张舒[1] 史秀志[1] 黄刚海[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南大学资源与安全工程学院,长沙410083

出　　处：《安全与环境学报》2010年第6期221-226,共6页Journal of Safety and Environment

基　　金："十一五"国家科技支撑项目(2006BAB02A02)

摘　　要：为能在安全管理体系的选择工作中做出最优决策,首次建立用于企业安全管理体系的评价指标体系,综合考虑影响企业选择安全管理体系的暂时的、长期的、定量的、定性的等13个指标。简述层次分析法和模糊评判法的基本原理,通过层次分析法,确定各指标的权重集,将待选体系方案的指标因素转换为隶属矩阵,引入二元对比定权法确定定性指标的相对隶属度,从而建立模糊综合评判模型。使用MATLAB 7.1工具进行计算,最后得出各体系方案基于影响因素的综合优越度。将评判模型应用于工程实例,阐述主要过程和分析结果,得出实例中待选体系方案的优越度分别为90.66%、53.42%和84.29%,从而确定最适合企业的安全管理体系。With the aim of choosing the best safety management system, this work has constructed an evaluation index system applied in safety management system for the first time. This index system contains 13 second indexes which including temporary and long-term, fix and non-fix quantified influencing factors working on the safety management system. AHP （analytical hierarchy process） and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method have been briefly introduced. Firstly, the weight matrix of the influencing factors was established according to the AHP method. The influencing factor indexes were then transformed into the matrix of membership degrees. Duality element relative comparison method was adopted to assure the relative weight between two non-quantitative elements. Based on the weight matrix and the matrix of membership degrees, a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model was established. By using MATLAB 7.1 for all calculation steps, the synthetic superior degrees of the safety management system were acquired based on the influencing factors. In the end, the primary analysis progress and results were introduced in an organization for validation. The synthetic superior degrees of the safety management system for the organization were 90.66%, 53.42% and 84.29% respectively showing that the first system appeared to be the best. The study has exhibited that the model is feasible, reliable and it has a high value of practical application.

关 键 词：安全管理工程 安全管理体系 层次分析法 模糊综合评判 

分 类 号：X92[环境科学与工程—安全科学]