人民币名义汇率对中国-东盟贸易效应分析  

An Empirical Analysis for the Effect of RMB Nominal Exchange Rate on the Trade of China-ASEAN

作　　者：李红[1] 方冬莉[2] 

机构地区：[1]广西大学商学院,南宁530004 [2]广西大学,南宁530004

出　　处：《亚太经济》2010年第6期62-65,共4页Asia-Pacific Economic Review

基　　金：教育部规划基金项目(10YJA790089);广西大学博士基金项目(X081010)的资助

摘　　要：人民币名义汇率与中国对东盟的进口及出口均存在长期稳定关系。伴随人民币名义汇率的上升,中国从东盟的进口以及对东盟的出口均增加,即人民币汇率上升对中国-东盟贸易有一定正效应,而且对中国向东盟出口的影响强度大于对中方进口的影响,但对中方从东盟进口的效应更显著。Using Cointegration analysis, this article analyzes the impact of nominal exchange rate of Renmingbi （RMB） against U. S. Dollar on the trade bctwcen China and ASEAN. After examining the quantitative relationship of the variables, we find that there is long-term stable relation between the nominal exchange rate of RMB and the import and export between China and ASEAN. The appreciation of RMB has positive effects on the China.ASEAN regional trade, and the impact on China＇ s export to ASEAN is higher than the impact on the China＇ s import from ASEAN, but the impact on China＇ s import is more significant.

关 键 词：人民币汇率 中国 东盟 贸易 

分 类 号：F822[经济管理—财政学]