全运会竞技集团实力差异与多强对抗格局的发展趋势  

Difference of competitive-unit and the developing trends of the more stronglyagainst patten in National Games

作　　者：韩春远[1] 宋绍兴[1] 杜鹏远 钟少婷[2] 林杰[1] 

机构地区：[1]华南理工大学体育学院,广东广州510641 [2]广东省体育运动技术学院田径中心,广东广州510100

出　　处：《山东体育学院学报》2010年第11期63-68,共6页Journal of Shandong Sport University

摘　　要：运用文献资料、数理统计和逻辑分析等方法,以我国历届(第1至11届)全运会各竞技单位为研究对象,以各竞技单位金牌、银牌和铜牌数目为反映其整体竞技实力的指标,按各单位竞技实力的差异和稳定程度划分为四个组(下称四个竞技集团),在划分各竞技集团的同时,对各竞技集团内部各竞技单位的竞技实力进行比较分析,结果显示:(1)各竞技集团内部竞技单位数量的分布呈均衡化态势发展;各竞技集团之间奖牌实力均具有非常显著性差异,第一、二竞技集团内部竞技单位之间各奖牌实力差异不明显,表现出势均力敌的多强对抗格局;(2)第一、二竞技集团内部各竞技单位之间在各类奖牌争夺上均表现最为激烈;第三竞技集团的竞争主要表现在银牌和铜牌的争夺上;第四竞技集团主要以争夺铜牌为主。另外,提示各竞技单位提高自身银牌和铜牌的竞争力是确保全运会竞技实力可持续发展的必要条件。With the methods of the documentation, data - statistics and logical analysis, it used the competitive - unit of the successive National Games from the first to the eleventh as subjects,and used the all medals of each unit which they got in the National Games as the index that to divide into four competitive - groups from all units and compared or analysed the difference of each unit of each group of the four. Here are two main results . First,the numbers of competitive - unit in each group can keep balance in the near future . There are more distinctive deference between each of the four competitive -group. However, in the first and second group, having the more strongly against pat- terns for their similar competitive power. Second, it is between each unit in the first and second groups that the most intensive about all kinds of medals. The silver and bronze are more competitive in the third group and the bronze is mainly competitive in the fourth group. Furthermore, it indicates that it is the necessary condition to keep the sustainable development of competitive power in National Games from enhancing their competitive abilities of silver and bronze.

关 键 词：全运会 竞技实力 竞技集团 多强对抗 格局 趋势 

分 类 号：G812.20[文化科学—体育学]