俄罗斯与乌克兰：从“敌手”到“盟友”？  

Russia and Ukraine:from "Adversaries" to "Allies"?

作　　者：黄登学[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]山东大学当代社会主义研究所 [2]山东大学政治学与公共管理学院

出　　处：《国际论坛》2011年第1期27-33,80,共7页International Forum

基　　金：2010年教育部人文社科规划项目“俄美关系‘重启’对中俄、中美关系的影响及对策研究”(10YJAGJW006);“山东大学自主创新基金资助”(Independent Innovation Foundation of Shandong University,IIFSDU)项目“梅德韦杰夫外交发展研究”(IFW10016)之阶段性研究成果

摘　　要：亚努科维奇就任乌克兰新一届总统后,为了发展国内经济、保障国家安全与统一,大幅度调整了对俄政策,而俄罗斯出于地缘政治以及国家安全等因素的考量,也对乌克兰的政策调整作出了积极回应,两国在天然气价格、俄海军基地以及乌克兰加入北约等一系列问题上出现了新的正向互动态势;然而受西方因素、乌国内政治及其对俄"帝国意识"的疑惧等问题的影响,虽然俄乌关系"重启"与改善的趋势已经确立,但两国从昔日的"敌手"转变为"盟友"的可能性并不大。In order to develop domestic economy and safeguard national security and unity Yanukovych,the newly elected president greatly adjusted Ukrainian foreign policy toward Russia.Meanwhile,Russia responded actively to Ukrainian policy adjustment on the basis of the consideration of geopolitics and national security.There appeared positive interaction between the two countries on a series of issues,such as price of natural gas,Russian naval base and Ukraine's entrance to NATO.However,due to the influence of western pressure,Ukrainian domestic politics and apprehension toward Russian 'Empire Complex',it is unlikely that the two countries will become allies from adversaries,although the relationship between Russia and Ukraine had been 'reset' and improved substantially.

关 键 词：俄罗斯 乌克兰 俄乌关系 前景 

分 类 号：D81[政治法律—国际关系]