淮河流域水资源承载能力计算及调控方案优选  

Calculation and scheme selection for water resources carrying capacity of Huaihe river basin

作　　者：窦明[1] 胡瑞[1] 张永勇[2] 左其亭[1] 李桂秋[1] 

机构地区：[1]郑州大学水利与环境学院,郑州450001 [2]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101

出　　处：《水力发电学报》2010年第6期28-33,59,共7页Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering

基　　金：973项目(2010CB951004);国家科技重大专项(2009ZX07210-006);郑州市科技攻关计划项目(083SGYG26122-6)

摘　　要：淮河流域严重的水资源短缺和水环境污染问题己成为制约当地经济社会发展的重要因素。本文在对淮河流域进行计算分区的基础上,以支撑最大经济社会规模为目标函数,并综合考虑了水量、水质、经济社会等约束条件,建立了水资源承载能力计算模型。计算了现状和规划水平年的水资源承载能力,结果显示如按照当前规划的经济社会发展速度,淮河流域将一直处于超载状态。从采取水环境治理措施和水资源高效利用措施两方面设计了8种调控方案,计算在不同方案下的水资源承载能力变化情况,优选出能满足将来经济社会发展需求的最佳调控方案,为指导淮河流域经济社会可持续发展提供依据。Serious water shortage and water pollution are two major factors that have restricted the socio-economic development in the Huaihe River basin.A water resources carrying capacity model is developed for this basin,based on a partition of arithmetic elements,with an optimization objective of sustaining the maximal socio-economic scale and a synthetical consideration of the constraint conditions on water quantity,water quality,economy,society,etc.Calculation of the carrying capacity of the base year and planning year shows that the socio-economic scale will be in an overloading status if the development follows the current planning.To improve the water environment and water resources use of this basin,eight schemes are proposed and their carrying capacities are calculated.Calculation shows that the optimal scheme meets the needs of future socio-economic development,and thus it provides a guide for this basin.

关 键 词：淮河流域 水资源承载能力 方案优选 

分 类 号：TV213.9[水利工程—水文学及水资源]