基于Matlab的灰色模型在煤矿百万吨死亡率预测中的应用  

Application of Gray Model to Forecasting the Fatality Rate per Million Tons of Coal Mine Based on Matlab

作　　者：石金泉[1] 陆愈实[1] 贾玉洁[1] 叶蓬[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学工程学院,武汉430074

出　　处：《安全与环境工程》2011年第1期77-80,共4页Safety and Environmental Engineering

摘　　要：本文针对煤矿安全生产的严峻形势,利用灰色理论建立了煤矿百万吨死亡率预测模型,并通过Matlab编程实现了对煤矿百万吨死亡率发展趋势的灰色预测,以便掌握其发展规律,使各级领导掌握全局性的安全生产状况,为制定安全生产目标及预防措施、更好地控制煤矿百万吨死亡率提供了重要的依据。To the grim situation of coal mine production,a forecasting model for the fatality rate per million tons of coal mine is established based on gray theory and has achieved the gray forecasting on its development trend through Matlab programming so as to master the law related.This will make the leading departments at all levels grasp the overall situation of production safety and provide the important basis for formulating the aims of production safety and precautions and better control of the fatality rate per million tons of coal mine.

关 键 词：煤矿 百万吨死亡率 灰色预测 Matlab模型 

分 类 号：X936[环境科学与工程—安全科学]