马来西亚汽车市场分析:与泰国汽车市场比较  

Malaysia auto market:Comparing with Thailand auto market

作　　者：孙海霞[1] 杨玲玲[1] 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学经济学院,上海200433

出　　处：《南洋问题研究》2010年第4期13-21,共9页Southeast Asian Affairs

基　　金：国家自然基金项目(70873021);上海汽车工业教育基金会研究类课题"中国-东盟自由贸易区的建立对上海汽车发展机遇问题的研究"(2009ZCYJ05-B);Eurasia Pacific Uninet OEAD fund

摘　　要：在中国-东盟自由贸易区(CAFTA)正式启动的宏观背景下,本文对马来西亚汽车市场进行详细的总量和结构分析,指出近10年来马来西亚汽车工业保持稳定的发展速度,但泰国汽车工业的迅速崛起使马来西亚汽车产业失去了在东盟的主导地位;而马来西亚政府推行的进口替代汽车产业政策和国民车计划直接决定了该国汽车产业的发展动向。在实证分析部分,我们通过显性比较优势指数RCA测算发现马来西亚汽车产业不具备显性比较优势,通过恒定市场份额CMS分析得出2001-2007年间虽然马来西亚汽车产业出口竞争力呈上升趋势,但竞争力呈自我弱化趋势。与泰国汽车产业的测算结果比较反过来验证了泰国政府及时顺应世界贸易自由化浪潮进行产业政策转变的正确性。Under the background of China-Asia Free Trade Area, the paper makes a detailed analysis on the Malaysia auto market. It points that Malaysia auto market grow steadily in the first decade of the century, but it is not the largest auto market in the South-East Asia for emerging Thailand auto market. Malaysia import substitution auto policy and National Automotive Policy determine its auto market development. The later of the paper, calculation of Revealed competitive advantage RCA index show that Malaysia does not have the revealed competitive advantage among the South-East Asia and China. Finally the calculation of constant market shares CMS shows that main factors determining Malaysia auto export is improvement of auto expert competiveness and finds out trend of self-weakness in its auto competiveness. Comparison with Thailand seems to show that Thailand auto industry transition is in accordance with the international trade liberation.

关 键 词：汽车市场 马来西亚 泰国 竞争力 汽车产业政策 

分 类 号：F416.471[经济管理—产业经济]