基于Logistic回归Cobb-Douglas模型的人才资本贡献率研究  

Study on the Contribution Rate of Talents Capital Based on Cobb-Douglas Production Function Combined with Logistic Regression

作　　者：林龙斌[1] 郁佳敏[2] 

机构地区：[1]上海交通大学国际公共事务管理学院,上海200240 [2]上海金融学院保险研究所,上海201209

出　　处：《上海交通大学学报》2011年第1期110-114,共5页Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University

摘　　要：以上海市闵行区为例,采用Logistic回归的Cobb-Douglas（C-D）生产函数模型计算上海市闵行区1992~2008年的人才资本贡献率,并分析了影响人才资本贡献率的因素.结果表明：从1992~2008年,上海市闵行区的人才资本贡献率为24.6%;尤其是从2005年以来,其人力资本的投入大幅增长,与该时期闵行区生产总值的增长趋势相一致,表明人才资本对闵行区经济发展的促进效应日渐增强.同时指出,需要对C-D模型加以改进,并考虑产业适用性、基础统计数据的完整性以及非学历人力资本投入等因素对人才资本贡献率的影响.Taking Shanghai Minhang district as an example,a Cobb-Douglas production function combined with Logistic regression was built to figure out Minhang＇s contribution rate of talents capital.Finally,suggestions on applicability of industry,statistics of elementary data and allowance for non-schooling human capital were proposed to improve the Cobb-Douglas model.The results show that,from 1992 to 2008,Minhang＇s contribution rate of talents capital is equal to 24.6%.Especially from 2005,the investment on talents capital rises up,and is consistent with the economic growth of Minhang.This indicates that human capital＇s promotion on Minhang＇s economic development is ever-growing.

关 键 词：人才资本 贡献率 COBB-DOUGLAS生产函数 闵行区 

分 类 号：F123.16[经济管理—世界经济]