从出口优先与内需扩大走向中性贸易政策——出口导向与内需扩展政策的价格、销量与福利效应分析  

A Change from Export Priority and the Expansion of Domestic Demand into Neutral Trade Policy:Analysis of Export-oriented and Domestic-demand-expansion Policies

作　　者：王根蓓[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海财经大学国际工商管理学院,上海200433

出　　处：《财经研究》2011年第2期38-48,共11页Journal of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(06BJL054);上海财经大学"211工程"第三期项目资助

摘　　要：文章以中国出口导向型经济为原型,建立出口—消费补贴局部均衡模型,并以自由贸易为参照,分别探讨了出口补贴、消费补贴以及二者组合政策的价格、数量和国民福利效应,由此证明了从中性贸易政策、消费补贴政策、出口补贴与消费补贴组合政策到出口补贴政策的最优政策排序。文章提出如下的政策转型建议:(1)以创造就业和加速增长为目标,将单一出口补贴政策转向出口补贴和消费补贴组合政策;(2)以降低贸易摩擦、扩大内需为目标,将内外双重补贴政策转向单一消费补贴政策;(3)以建立和谐市场经济为目标,将非中性贸易政策转向以自由贸易为基础的中性贸易政策。Based on China＇s export-oriented economy, this paper develops a partial equilibrium model of export-consumption subsidies and discusses the price, quantity and welfare effects of export-subsidy policy, consumption-subsidy policy and their combination. It presents the following ranking of optimal policy instruments： from neutral trade policy, consumption subsidies, the combination of export subsidies and consumption subsidies to export subsidies. According to the above results, this paper suggests the following three changes in policy instruments： firstly, in order to create employment and increase aggregate demand, the pure export-subsidy policy ought to be substituted by the combination of export subsidies and consumption subsidies; secondly, in order to reduce trade friction and expand domestic demand, the combination of export subsidies and consumption subsidies should be substituted by the consumption-subsidy policy; thirdly, in order to build up harmonious market economy, the non-neutral trade policy should be substituted by neutral trade policy based on free trade.

关 键 词：出口补贴 消费补贴 出口-消费补贴 出口优先 内需扩大 自由贸易 中性 政策 

分 类 号：F752.0[经济管理—国际贸易]