中国房价形成机制的实证研究  

An Empirical Research of Real Estate Prices Formation Mechanism in China

作　　者：刘亦文[1] 谢意[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学金融与统计学院,湖南长沙410079

出　　处：《经济数学》2010年第4期105-110,共6页Journal of Quantitative Economics

基　　金：湖南省社会科学规划项目(08YBB315)

摘　　要：构建了房地产市场的供求模型和均衡价格模型,引入商品房销售价格、销售面积、施工面积等9个变量,建立相应的联立方程组,对房地产价格形成机制进行了研究.研究结果表明:房地产的价格很大程度上受到居民收入、利率、以及土地价格的影响,相对而言居民收入和利率的影响最为明显.同时,居民对房地产的潜在需求和有效需求间的差距较大.目前相关部门应更加关注房地产市场有效需求的规模,并适当调整利率、土地供给等,从而保证房地产市场的稳定发展.The real estate market supply and demand model and the equilibrium price model were constructed.After introducing real estate sales prices,sales area,construction area,and other nine variables,the appropriate simultaneous equations to study the formation mechanism of real estate prices were established The results show that house prices are related in large part to income,interest rates,and land prices,income and interest rates.Meanwhile,there exists a larg gap between the residents＇ potential demand and the effective demand for real estate.At present the relevant departments should pay more attention to the scale of effective demand,and make some appropriate adjustments to interest rates,land supply,so as to ensure the stable development of the real estate market.

关 键 词：房价 需求模型 供给模型 均衡价格模型 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]