退耕还林后期农户复耕意愿选择研究分析——以甘肃省安定区为例  

The Research Analysis About the Choose of Farmers' Rehabilitation in the Later of Returning Land from Farming to Forestry——Cases Study of Anding District in Gansu Province

作　　者：王术华[1] 支玲[1] 张媛[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南林业大学经济管理学院,昆明650224

出　　处：《林业经济问题》2010年第6期478-481,共4页Issues of Forestry Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(70573110)

摘　　要：退耕还林工程的直接作用对象是农户,退耕还林后期,退耕农户是否会保持已有的退耕规模,农户的参与积极性是否会改变,都将对退耕还林的可持续性产生一定影响。通过建立logistic回归模型,以安定区样本农户调查数据为基础,对退耕还林第一轮补助后期的农户复耕意愿选择进行分析。结果显示,影响农户复耕的因素主要以农户家庭收入和对退耕还林政策的满意度为主。The direct effect of returning land from farming to forestry is farmer.In the later,whether farmers would maintain existing scale,whether the participation enthusiasm would change,these will produce certain effect of sustainability.Establish logistic regression model with the sample investigation data of farmers in Anding region.Analyzed wish for the selection of farmers＇rehabilitation.Results showed that the factors affecting farmers rehabilitation is household income and the satisfaction of forestry policies.

关 键 词：退耕还林 二元LOGISTIC回归 复耕 

分 类 号：F326.24[经济管理—产业经济]