房价上涨对国民经济影响的理论分析——基于房地产财富效应传导机制视角  

The Theoretical Analysis of Impact of House Price Rising on National Economy——Based on Real Estate Wealth Effect Transmission Mechanism

作　　者：李天祥[1] 苗建军[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,南京211100

出　　处：《软科学》2011年第2期57-61,71,共6页Soft Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(08BJY014);江苏省社会科学基金课题(08CSJ014)

摘　　要：将房地产财富效应的部分传导机制模型化。利用这一模型,发现房价上涨对于有房者和无房者的影响是截然相反的,房价上涨使财富从无房者向有房者集聚,使无房者的福利水平下降。房地产的财富效应依赖于脱离居住用途而进入流通领域的住宅数量,投机因素的存在会强化这种功能转变。一方面使社会上存在大量的闲置房,另一方面使无房者无房可租,无房可住。针对不同研究者对房地产财富效应及其对国民经济影响的实证研究通常会得出不同的甚至截然相反的结论的问题,经济模型对此给出了一个解释。This paper builds the model of part of real estate wealth effect transmission mechanism.It finds out that the impacts of the house price＇s rise on renters and homeowners are different.It makes wealth gather from renters to homeowners,causing renters＇ welfare decline.Real estate wealth effect depends on the numbers of residential which are out of occupancy use but in circulation,and the existence of speculative factors will strengthen this process.On the one hand,there are more vacant houses;on the other hand,there are no residences to rent.This model explains the different and even diametrically opposite conclusion made by empirical studies of real estate wealth effect and its impact on the national economy.

关 键 词：财富效应 房地产业 传导机制 住宅地产 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]