一种基于Monte Carlo的空情目标仿真方法  

Simulation Method of Air Target Based on Monte Carlo

作　　者：冯亚军[1] 董光波[2] 吴传芝[3] 尹康银[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军雷达学院一系 [2]空军装备研究院二所 [3]94789部队

出　　处：《空军雷达学院学报》2011年第1期25-27,共3页Journal of Air Force Radar Academy

摘　　要：空情目标仿真为预警监视系统模拟训练、效能评估、部署优化等提供数据基础.针对利用想定航线生成的空情目标无法体现随机因素的问题,基于蒙特卡罗法,提出了一种包含随机模型的空情目标仿真方法,给出了服从泊松分布的空情目标流到达时间模型和服从均匀分布的目标流空域分布模型.利用Crystalball风险评估软件对一个具体想定进行仿真,得到服从给定概率分布的空情目标,验证了该方法的有效性.The simulation of air target can provide data foundation to simulated training,performance evaluation,optimization of deployment of the early warning surveillance systems,etc.The objective of this paper is to solve the problem that the random factor can not be reflected in the process of utilizing assumed air route to generate air target.Based on Monte Carlo method,a simulation scheme of air target that contains stochastic model is presented,the models of air target stream arriving time subject to Poisson distribution and target stream space domain distribution subject to uniform probability distribution are given.By utilizing the Crystal ball risk assessment software,a specific scenario is simulated,thus acquiring an air target subject to given probability distribution and verifying the availability of the proposed method.

关 键 词：蒙特卡罗法 预警监视 空情目标 

分 类 号：TN95[电子电信—信号与信息处理]