产业结构高级化与能源制约  

Industry Structure High-ranking and Energy Constraints

作　　者：周明磊[1] 任荣明[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院,上海200052

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2011年第2期105-111,共7页Forum on Science and Technology in China

摘　　要：本文在Moore指数基础上建立中国产业结构高级化指数,并对产业结构变动与经济增长、能源消耗进行协整关系检验。研究结果显示新的产业结构高级化指数能有效捕捉产业结构变动特征。通过协整关系计量检验,认为产业结构高级化、经济增长、能源消耗两两之间都存在同向变动的协整关系;但三者之间的协整关系显示产业结构高级化与能源消耗在促进经济增长方面是互相替代。Based on Moore index,we construct new index of industrial structure high-ranking.Through empirical research on China＇s industry structure economic growth and energy consumption with test,we found the new index can effectively capture the characteristics of industrial structure change.Co-integration test results show each of industry structure,economic growth and energy consumption have co-integration relationship and changing in the same direction,but industry structure high-ranking and energy consumption are substitute in promoting economic growth.

关 键 词：Moore指数 产业结构 能源消耗 协整 

分 类 号：F222.1[经济管理—国民经济] TK0[动力工程及工程热物理]