加工贸易对我国出口技术结构影响的实证分析——基于省级区域金属制品出口的面板协整  

Empirical Analysis of the Effect of Processing Trade on the Export Technology Structure——Panel Cointegration Analysis Based on Provincial Region Metal Product Export

作　　者：陈晓华[1,2] 叶宏伟[2] 金海兰[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江理工大学经济管理学院,杭州310018 [2]浙江大学经济学院,杭州310027

出　　处：《重庆工商大学学报（社会科学版）》2011年第1期37-47,共11页Journal of Chongqing Technology and Business University：Social Science Edition

基　　金：国家社科基金(09CGJ013);浙江省社会科学界联合会研究课题(08N48)

摘　　要：运用Hausmann模型对我国2002—2008年29个省级区域金属制品的亚产业和省级区域层面出口技术结构进行测度,同时运用动态OLS模型分析加工贸易对我国金属制品出口技术结构的作用。分析表明:我国金属制品出口技术结构较高的省份多为经济较为发达的东部省份,中西部区域的出口技术结构相对较低;金属制品出口技术结构有提升较快,但亚产业和省级区域内部的出口技术结构差异性在扩大;虽然加工贸易促进了金属制品出口技术结构的升级,但对不同亚产业和省级区域出口技术结构变迁的作用力存在较大的差异,表现出显著的两极分化效应。Base on the provincial export data from 2002 to 2008,we take advantage of Hausmann（2005） model to estimate metal industry＇s technology content of export structure from sub-industry and provincial level of 29 provinces,moreover we use Kernel test to analyze the distribution of them.Then we use dynamic OLS model of KaoChiang（2000）to study the effect of processing trade on the technology content of export structure from five aspects.The results show that the majority of the provinces which have higher metal product export technology are eastern developed provinces and the export technology in middle provinces is relatively lower,that China＇s metal industry＇s technology content of export structure increases quickly but the gap becomes larger between different sub-industries and provinces,and that although processing trade enhances the export technology structure of metal products of China,its effects are different between different sub-industry and provinces on export technology structure evolution.It has polarized effect on metal industry＇s technology content of export structure

关 键 词：出口技术结构 加工贸易 金属制品 动态OLS 技术结构升级 出口贸易 

分 类 号：F203[经济管理—国民经济]