基于低碳经济视角的中国能源结构灰色关联度分析  

Application of the Grey Related Theory to China's Energy Structure Based on the Perspective Low Carbon Economy

作　　者：周子英[1] 段建南[1] 向昌盛[1] 许敏[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南农业大学资源环境学院,湖南长沙410128

出　　处：《生态经济》2011年第3期55-58,共4页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金(09CJY055)

摘　　要：中国正处于经济高速发展的进程中,经济的可持续发展要求中国走低碳发展的道路,要改变以往的高消耗、高排放的经济发展模式。文章通过对中国近9年来的能源生产结构进行了灰色关联度分析,发现原煤、原油、天然气、新能源与总能源的关联度分别为0.873 5、0.608 3、0.725 1、0.762 9。结果表明,中国经济的发展是以消耗原煤为主要能源手段,这种能源结构不利于建构低碳经济。为了实现国民经济的可持续发展,建设"两型社会",必须大力调整产业、能源结构,提高能源的使用效率。China is in the process of rapid economic development, the sustainable development of China＇s economy required china takes the road of the development of low carbon, the low carbon economy required the economic growth, such as high consumption, application of the grey related theory to the structure of energy production in the near nine years, found coal, crude oil, natural gas, new energy whose correlation to the total energy was 0.8735, 0.6083, 0.725], 0.7629. The results showed that China＇s economic development was based on coal, which was its main energy consumption, meaning that the energy structure was not conducive to build a low carbon economy. In order to achieve the sustainable development of the national economy, established the ＂two-oriented society＂, we must strive to adjust the structure of industrial and energy, improving energy use efficiency.

关 键 词：气候变化 能源结构 碳排放 低碳经济 

分 类 号：F206[经济管理—国民经济] F062.2