我国奶牛饲养的损益点测算和竞争潜力分析  

Estimating Break-even Point and Analyzing Competitive Potential on Dairy Farms of China

作　　者：郭善民[1] 吴一平[1] 唐华仓[1] 余航[1] 王灿[1] 赵翠萍[1] 马恒运[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南农业大学经济与管理学院,郑州450002

出　　处：《中国奶牛》2011年第3期35-38,共4页China Dairy Cattle

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目<中国牛奶生产全要素生产率及科技政策研究>(编号:70773037)

摘　　要：运用农产品成本收益调查资料,估计了我国奶牛饲养的损益平衡点以及市场竞争潜力。结果显示,我国不同奶牛饲养规模的损益平衡点以及市场竞争潜力差异较大。其中,产品产量市场竞争潜力只有10%左右,鲜奶价格有一定市场竞争潜力但优势不明显,劳动工价市场竞争潜力较高,但随着我国农村劳动力的短缺,这种优势会逐渐消失。This article estimates the break-even point on China's dairy farms based on the cost and return data of agricultural commodities.The estimated results show that there are apparent differences in break-even points and competitive potential over farm sizes.In detail,the competitive potential remains only approximate 10%in the milk yield per dairy cattle,some but insignificant advantage in farm gate milk price,and quite high in wage rate.However,the competitive potential of wage rate will disappears gradually as rural labors becomes scarcity.

关 键 词：奶牛饲养 损益平衡点 竞争潜力 

分 类 号：S823[农业科学—畜牧学]