山东省猩红热发病与气象因素相关性研究  

The relationship between the incidence of scarlet fever and meteorological factors in Shandong province

作　　者：黎景雪[1] 王培承[1] 房刚[1] 

机构地区：[1]潍坊医学院公共卫生学院,山东潍坊261053

出　　处：《中国预防医学杂志》2011年第2期149-151,共3页Chinese Preventive Medicine

基　　金：2009年潍坊医学院研究生创新基金项目

摘　　要：目的探讨气象因素与猩红热发病的关系。方法将山东省2000-2007年猩红热发病率资料进行正态化处理,对可能影响其发病的气温、降水和日照时数三个气象因素进行单因素相关分析和多元逐步回归分析。结果猩红热发病率与平均气温(r=0.622,P>0.05)和平均降水(r=0.115,P>0.05)呈正相关,但差异无统计学意义,与平均日照时数(r=-0.889,P<0.05)呈负相关,且差异有统计学意义。结论当日照时数偏低时,应加强对猩红热的监控。Objective To analyze the relationship between the incidence of scarlet fever and meteorological factors.Methods The incidences of scarlet fever and meteorological factors were retrospectively collected for Shandong province from 2000 to 2007.Simple correlation and multiple stepwise regression analyses were performed for the association between the incidence of scarlet fever and meteorological factors,including temperature,rainfall and sunshine time,etc.Results There was a significant negative correlation between the incidence rate of scarlet fever and average sunshine time（r=-0.889,P〈0.05）.The incidence rate of scarlet fever increased with temperature（r=0.622,P〉0.05）and rainfall（r=0.115,P〉0.05）.However,the association was not significant.Conclusion We should strengthen the monitoring of scarlet fever when the sunshine time is low.

关 键 词：猩红热 气象因素 单因素相关分析 多元逐步回归分析 

分 类 号：R515.1[医药卫生—内科学]