技术进步与台湾农业增长演进的实证研究:1963—2008年  

Empirical Research on Technological Progress and the Evolution of Taiwan's Agriculture Growth from 1963 to 2008

作　　者：吴凤娇[1] 陈银忠[2] 

机构地区：[1]厦门大学台湾研究院,福建厦门361005 [2]厦门大学经济学院,福建厦门361005

出　　处：《台湾研究集刊》2011年第1期80-88,共9页Taiwan Research Journal

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目"两岸农业交流与合作机制研究"(08JJDGAT250);教育部规划基金项目"台湾政党轮替后的两岸经贸合作"(08JAGAT002)

摘　　要：本文运用超越对数模型对1963—2008年的台湾农业技术进步率进行测算分解,并分阶段探讨了其农业增长演替规律。结果发现:近50年来,台湾农业技术进步率和技术进步贡献率均呈稳定增长态势;台湾农业增长经历由资本主导到资本和技术进步双向驱动再到技术进步主导的嬗变,其农业增长方式已由粗放型转变为集约型。通过技术变迁来消除资源禀赋制约是未来台湾农业持续增长的最佳路径。The paper uses Translog model to calculate and decompose the Taiwan＇s agriculture technological progress rate from 1963 to 2008 ,and discusses its agriculture growth succession rule by stages. The results shows that Taiwan＇s agriculture technological progress rate and technological progress contribution rate have increased steadily in the recent 50 years ;Taiwan＇s agriculture growth mode has been from the extensive into the intensive type as it experiences the capital leading to two-way drive of capital and technological progress and to the technological progress domination. In the future, it is the best path to eliminate the resource endowment restriction through the technological change for sustainable growth of agriculture in Taiwan.

关 键 词：台湾地区 技术进步 农业增长 

分 类 号：F327.58[经济管理—产业经济]