2010年世界船舶市场评述与展望  

Review of the world ship market in 2010 and beyond

作　　者：李源 秦琦 祁斌 沈苏雯 周羽欢 

机构地区：[1]七○八研究所,上海200011

出　　处：《船舶》2011年第1期1-9,共9页Ship & Boat

摘　　要：回顾了2010年世界船舶市场的发展,并对未来船舶市场进行了预测。随着世界经济的复苏,2010年航运市场出现反弹,虽然全年呈现震荡格局,但整体好于2009年,散货船、油船、集装箱船年平均运价均高于上年,特别是集装箱船年平均运价比上年高出一倍多。与此同时,三大船型建造市场出现轮动效应,上半年散货船引导造船市场,下半年行情有所下滑,油船订单则从第二季度开始增加,而沉寂许久的集装箱船建造市场在下半年也开始出现大量新订单。预计2011年的船舶市场将难以维持2010年的繁荣局面,但集装箱船建造市场和海工装备有望延续2010年下半年出现的良好市场行情。This paper reviews the world ship market in 2010 and forecasts the future ship market. With the recovery of the world economy,the shipping market has rebounded in 2010,and has been generally better than 2009 despite the surging all-year. The average shipping prices of bulk carriers, oil tankers and container ships in 2010 are all higher than those in 2009,especially that the average price of container ships is more than the twice. At the same time, the shipbuilding market of the three main types ascends in turn. The bulk carriers lead the shipbuilding market in the first half of the year and declines in the latter half. The orders of the oil tankers increased from the second quarter. Moreover, there is a large deal of new orders for the container shipbuilding market which has been depressed for a long time. The ship market in 2011 is not expected to be as prosperous as in 2010,however,the container shipbuilding market and offshore equipments are hoped to continue the flourishing situation appearing at the latter half of 2010.

关 键 词：经济复苏 世界航运市场 船舶建造市场 主要船型价格 主要船型未来展望 

分 类 号：F416.474[经济管理—产业经济]