基于产业链的区域环境污染物排放的产业贡献  

A Research on Industrial Contribution to Regional Environmental Pollutant Emission:Based on the Discussion of the Industrial Chain

作　　者：王茂军[1] 许洁[1] 杨雪春[1] 

机构地区：[1]首都师范大学资源环境与旅游学院,北京100048

出　　处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2011年第3期5-13,共9页China Population,Resources and Environment

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(编号:09YJAZH057);国家"十一五"科技支撑计划项目(编号:2006BAJ11B06)

摘　　要：区域经济增长与环境质量之间的关系研究是目前学者们探讨的重要学术议题之一。其中较多的是对EKC曲线的验证,近几年部分学者从国民经济各部门中的产业自身特征、产业结构、技术进步、FDI效应等方面考察产业发展对污染物排放的影响。然而以上研究议题中学者均没有讨论污染物的发生主体———各产业部门与排污的直接关系。故本文将从宏观尺度下的综合水平测度区域经济发展与环境质量关系、中观尺度下的产业属性特征与排污关系的研究视角转移至分析具体产业部门的污染物排放效应,同时将产业置于产业链的结构形式中,研究产业链上产业发展与污染物排放的关系。发现:第一,通过借助复杂网络思想的社区划分方法,将山东省39个产业部门分为3个社团。其中社团I主要由制造业部门组成,共有18个产业部门,社团II包括了15个部门,主要是第三产业,社团III由6个产业部门组成且内部异质性高。第二,选择其中以制造业为主的社团I,并在社团I内识别出一条彼此间联系最为紧密的产业链,包括农林牧渔业、食品制造及烟草加工业、化学工业、纺织工业、服装皮革羽绒及其制品业、通用/专用设备制造业和交通运输设备制造业。以一种定量的方法获取了通过价值流传递而串在一起的产业链条。该产业链的经济规模、污染物规模在山东省均有重要地位。第三,采用岭回归分析方法,构建了6个制造业与产业链工业废水、固体废弃物排放的关系模型,6个制造业中对工业废水、固体废弃物排放相对贡献度最大的部门分别为服装皮革羽绒及其制品业、食品制造及烟草加工业。这是由于上游产业排污的链式传递效应与产业自身污染物排放效应的共同叠加作用。The research on the relationship of regional economic growth and environmental quality is one of the important academic topics that scholars are exploring nowadays, many of which were verified against EKC curve. In recent years some scholars have studied the impact of the industry＇ s own characteristics, industrial structure, technological progress and industrial foreign direct investment on pollutant emission from various departments in the national economy. However, scholars did not have any more discussion of the relationship between pollutant emissions and industry sectors which have produced pollutants in the most direct way. Therefore, in this article we transferred research perspective from the study of macro-scale measure of the relationship between regional economic development and environmental quality, and meso-scale analysis of that between industrial features and pollutants to the research on the effect of pollutant emission of specific sectors. In the same time we placed them in the structure of industrial chain and studied the relationship between pollutants emission and industrial development. There are three main conclusions： （~） 39 industry sectors in Shandong province were divided into three societies by the method of community division from a complex network thought. Society I had a total of 18 industrial sectors which mainly included the manufacturing ones. Association II was consisted of 15 departments, mainly the tertiary industry. Association III was formed by 6 industrial sectors and had a high internal heterogeneity. （~） We selected a manufacturing-based society I, in which an industrial chain linked with each other most closely was identified, including agriculture- forestry-animal husbandry-fisheries industry sectors, food manufacturing and tobacco processing industry, chemical industry, textile industry, garment leather and clothing product industry, general / special equipment manufacturing industry and transportation equipment manufacturing industry. A quantitative metho

关 键 词：复杂网络 产业链 岭回归 山东省 

分 类 号：F08[经济管理—政治经济学] G0-054[文化科学]