基于库兹涅茨曲线的城市经济增长与交通发展相关性分析  

Correlation Analysis Between Economic Growth and Urban Transportation Development Based on Kuznets Curve

作　　者：丁川[1] 谢秉磊[1] 姚红云[2] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨工业大学深圳研究生院,深圳518055 [2]重庆交通大学交通运输学院,重庆400074

出　　处：《交通信息与安全》2011年第1期89-92,97,共5页Journal of Transport Information and Safety

基　　金：国家软科学研究计划项目(批准号:2009GXS5D130);国家自然科学基金项目(批准号:70903018)资助

摘　　要：城市经济增长和交通发展有着十分密切的联系,通过对我国城市人均GDP与每万人拥有公共汽车和人均道路面积的回归分析,运用库兹涅茨曲线对其中的规律和城市交通发展的趋势进行预测,对城市经济增长和交通的协同性进行诠释。Economic growth of cities has a close relation with their transportation systems.In this regard,the per capita GDP is regressed with the number of the buses per 10,000 people and per capita road area for all cities in China.The Kuznets curve is used to capture the rules within the regression results and forecast the development trend of urban transportation systems.The colinearity between urban economic growth and corresponding transportation system is found out and explained.

关 键 词：经济增长 交通 城市 库兹涅茨曲线 

分 类 号：U491.23[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]