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机构地区:[1]南开大学经济学院,天津300071 [2]天津财经大学经济学院,天津300222
出 处:《经济经纬》2011年第2期14-19,69,共7页Economic Survey
基 金:国家社科基金重大招标项目(102D&027);中国博士后基金面上项目(20100470803)
摘 要:高增长、低消费和高投资是中国宏观经济的显著特征。笔者基于财富效用的视角,研究财政收支结构和收入分配对经济增长等的影响。建模分析发现,税率、对个人的转移支付、转移支付总额、政府消费、资本在效用中权重、政府投资外部性、收入水平和收入分配都影响着经济增长率和消费资本比。计量研究表明,经济增长在长期可由基尼系数、投资、政府消费、税收、转移支付、政府投资来解释,其短期波动则可由基尼系数、投资和政府投资来解释。所建模型可以解释中国经济的显著特征。High growth rate, high investment rate and low consumption rate are three typical characteristics of China's macro economy. The authors research the effect of fiscal income and expenses and income distribution on economic growth from the perspectives of wealth effects. The model analysis finds that tax rate, transfer payments to individuals, total transfer payments, government consump- tion, the weight of capital in the utility, externalities of government investment, income levels and income distribution all have influ- ence on economic growth rate and consumption capital ratio. The quantitative research shows that the rate of economic growth can be explained by Gini coefficient, investment, government consumption, tax, government transfer payments and government investment in the long run and its fluctuations in the short-term can be decided by Gini coefficient, investment and government investment. The mod- el can explain the prominent features of Chinese economy.
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