发展中国家贸易结构相似对贸易绩效影响的实证研究  

An Empirical Research into the Effect of the Trade Structure Similarity in Developing Countries on Trade Performance

作　　者：张亚斌[1] 车鸣[1] 易先忠[2] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学经贸学院,湖南长沙410079 [2]湖南商学院经贸学院,湖南长沙410205

出　　处：《经济经纬》2011年第2期30-34,共5页Economic Survey

基　　金：湖南省社科基金项目(09YBA082)

摘　　要：发展中国家出口结构的相似导致同类产品供给增加，会恶化外贸发展绩效。基于42个贸易条件恶化的发展中国家1995年～2008年的面板协整检验表明，发展中国家贸易结构相似恶化价格贸易条件，降低收入贸易条件。因此，为改善贸易绩效，需要调整外贸发展战略、降低出口结构的相似度，避免过度竞争：Similar export trade structure in developing countries will result in the increase in the supply of similar products and deteriorate the performance of foreign trade development. The panel co-integration test based on the data of 42 developing countries in which the trade terms deteriorated during the period of 1995-2008 shows that the trade structure similarity in developing countries deteriorates the price trade terms and lowers the income trade terms. Therefore, in order to improve the trade performance, developing countries should adjust their trade development strategies, decrease the export structure similarity and avoid excessive competition.

关 键 词：出口结构相似 贸易条件 面板协整 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易]