重庆农村经济社会发展水平评价  

Evaluation of Rural Economic and Social Development Level in Chongqing

作　　者：邓广山[1] 苏维词[1,2] 赵国军[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆师范大学地理科学学院,重庆400047 [2]贵州科学院山地资源研究所,贵阳550001

出　　处：《重庆师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2011年第2期28-34,共7页Journal of Chongqing Normal University:Natural Science

基　　金：国家973计划项目(No.2006CB403204);国家社会科学基金项目(No.06XYJ017);重庆师范大学重点项目(No.08XLZ13);贵州省高层次人才特助项目(TZJF-2008年22号)

摘　　要：在城乡统筹发展要求的背景下,为了加深对重庆农村发展状况的认识,对重庆农村经济社会发展现状进行评价。结合重庆自身实际状况,初步构建了一套重庆农村经济社会发展状况指标评价体系,并通过因子分析和灰色关联分析验证,得出了各区县农村经济社会发展水平综合得分和排名,以及影响农村发展的主要因素。通过对综合得分进行聚类分析以及将其与人均固定资产投资、公路密度、经济密度等要素进行相关性分析,划分了农村发展3个等级水平的行政范围,结果显示:加大投资力度、加快基础设施建设、优化经济布局,可以较好地提高农村经济社会发展速度。分析结果表明:万州区正成长为渝东北翼的区域增长极,黔江区则具备成为渝东南翼区域增长极的潜力,同时也表明就重庆农村发展现状而言,一小时经济圈优于渝东北翼,渝东北翼又整体优于渝东南翼。最后对发展较优的一小时经济圈、万州区和发展较差的渝东北翼、渝东南翼、渝西边缘的潼南县的农村总体发展思路进行了初步探讨。In the background of urban and rural balanced development,in order to promote the understanding for rural development in Chongqing,and this article evaluated its economic and social development.Based on the development status of Chongqing＇s urban and rural areas,we set the indicators system of evaluation for Chongqing rural economic and social development,and prove its reason through the factor analysis and gray relational analysis.Finally we get the composite score and ranking of each district.Taking cluster analysis to composite scores and correlation analysis with per capita investment in fixed assets,road density and the economic pattern,and also taking hierarchical display,we get three levels area of rural development status,and prove that it is correct to increase investment and build infrastructure and make a rational economic distribution.It also shows that,for every regional rural economic and social development states,an hour economic areas is better than the northeast of Chongqing,and the northeast of Chongqing is better than the southeast of Chongqing overall.Finally,we try to explore some overall measures for superior areas such as an hour economic area,Wanzhou district and poor areas,the northeast and the southeast of Chongqing and Tongnan county in the west edge.

关 键 词：指标评价体系 因子分析 灰色关联分析 经济社会发展 重庆农村 

分 类 号：F304.4[经济管理—产业经济] N941.5[自然科学总论—系统科学]