基于问卷调查的浙江省区域存货指数研究  

作　　者：戴贤荣[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民银行杭州中心支行,浙江杭州310001

出　　处：《浙江金融》2011年第2期64-66,共3页Zhejiang Finance

摘　　要：借鉴国内外现有存货指数编制方法,基于人民银行浙江省区域500户企业季度问卷调查数据,初步编制出省份区域存货指数。实证研究表明,区域存货指数变动基本能够拟合区域宏观经济运行的周期性波动,但存在约1个季度的滞后,同时能够较好反映企业经营状况的变化趋势。从目前存货指数走势情况看,当前浙江省区域经济扩张的动力较为充足。The paper compiled the regional inventory index of Zhejiang province preliminarily based on the study of current existing computation method of inventory index both domestically and internationally,and grounded on the quarterly questionnaire of 500 Enterprises Survey in Zhejiang conducted by the People＇s bank of China.Through the empirical research,it is proved that the regional inventory index basically fits the cyclical fluctuations of Zhejiang economy,however with one quarter＇s lag.And the index also reflects the tendency change of the enterprises operation precisely.According to the current movement of inventory index,it is presumed that the motive force of Zhejiang regional economy expansion is sufficient.

关 键 词：区域 存货指数 实证研究 

分 类 号：F832[经济管理—金融学]