基于三角模糊数的一种项目投资决策分析方法(英文)  

An Analysis Method of the Project Investment Decision-Making Based on the Triangular Fuzzy Number

作　　者：王尚户[1] 

机构地区：[1]内蒙古科技大学数理与生物工程学院,内蒙古包头014010

出　　处：《内蒙古大学学报（自然科学版）》2011年第2期153-157,共5页Journal of Inner Mongolia University：Natural Science Edition

基　　金：Innovation Funds from Depart ment of Science and Technology(2009IM010400)~~

摘　　要：项目本身存在诸多不确定的模糊因素和风险.在假定项目投资决策的原始信息既具有不确定性的特征又均为三角模糊数时,根据模糊概率理论给出项目的模糊期望收益与方差,采用不确定型决策方法进行项目导入期投资决策分析.最后给出了一个算例.A project itself has many uncertain fuzzy factors and risks.Assume that the original information of the project investment decision-making not only is uncertain,but also is the triangular fuzzy number,the fuzzy expected return and variance of the project are given based on the fuzzy probability theory,and uncertainty decision making is used to analyze the investment decision at the project introductory phase.Finally,an example is given.

关 键 词：项目投资 决策分析 三角模糊数 模糊期望收益 模糊方差 

分 类 号：O211.67[理学—概率论与数理统计]