2010年电力供需形势回顾与2011年展望  

Review of 2010 and Prospect in 2011 of Power Supply and Demand in China

作　　者：顾宇桂[1] 郭利杰[1] 单葆国[1] 

机构地区：[1]国网能源研究院,北京100052

出　　处：《能源技术经济》2011年第3期35-39,共5页Electric Power Technologic Economics

摘　　要：2010年,在经济超预期增长的带动下,全国电力需求实现恢复性增长,全年增长14.6%,其中第二产业尤其是主要高耗能行业用电的大幅反弹是拉动全社会用电增长的主要动力;装机增长平稳,全国电力供需总体平衡,但局部地区部分时段因电煤供应和来水不足,电力供应紧张。2011年,国内经济在平稳较快发展的同时增速回调,电力需求仍将保持较快增长但增速将有所回落,预计增速为10%～12%;受电煤供应、来水等因素的影响,全国电力供需平衡偏紧。In 2010, driven by unexpected growth of economy, the total electricity consumption resumed its growth to 14.6%, which mostly comes from the sharp rebound in electricity demand of the secondary industry, especially the major energy-intensive industries. The installed generation capacity grew steadily and the country＇ s power supply and demand maintains an overall balance except for some local areas where power supply is in shortage due to coal shortage and insufficient precipitation. In 2011, the economic growth will maintain a rapid development but with a slower growth rate, which means that the power demand will maintain a rapid growth but with a slower growth rate, expected at 10%-12%. Duo to the effects of such factors as the coal supply shortage and insufficient water inflow, the country＇ s electricity supply and demand balance will be on the tight side.

关 键 词：用电量 恢复性增长 电煤供应 电力供需 

分 类 号：TM714[电气工程—电力系统及自动化] F426.61[经济管理—产业经济]