基于DEA方法中国交通运输行业绩效评价  

Performance Evaluation of Chinese Transportation Industry Based on DEA Method

作　　者：丁小东[1] 徐菱[1] 姚志刚[2] 

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,成都610031 [2]长安大学经济与管理学院,西安710064

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报》2011年第3期77-81,共5页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology

基　　金：国家"十一五"科技支撑项目(2006BAG01A04)

摘　　要：采用DEA方法中的CCR模型评价中国交通运输行业绩效,用主成份分析法构建出6个投入指标和5个产出指标,通过编写LINGO程序求解绩效指数,发现中国交通运输行业30年发展历程可分为4个阶段,其绩效指数到2013年将停止下降;进行关键要素分析,发现运输线路投入和周转量产出是影响交通运输绩效的核心要素,建议行业管理部门应重视高速公路、国际航线、国家铁路的投入建设,强调铁路货运和水路货运的核心作用。By adopting CCR performance evaluation model of DEA and constructing six input indicators and five output indicators through PCA（principal component analysis）,the China＇s transportation industry is evaluated and its performance is solved by LINGO.Through the performance index analysis,the author pointed China＇s transportation industry can be divided into four phase in the 30 years and its performance index will not decline but enter the new development cycle in 2013.Using factor weights analysis,the author found out the transportation line investment and turnover are the core factors which effect the transportation performance.The author suggested that the highway,international routes and railway should increase investment and the central core of railway transportation and waterway transportation should be emphasized.

关 键 词：绩效评价 DEA方法 主成份分析 交通运输行业 

分 类 号：U116.5[交通运输工程] F512.3[经济管理—产业经济]